Journal: PLOS Sustainability and Transformation

Abbreviation

PLOS Sustain Transform

Publisher

PLOS

Journal Volumes

ISSN

2767-3197

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2024 - 20252
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Publications 1 - 2 of 2
  • The cost of fungicide resistance evolution in multi-field plant epidemics
    Item type: Journal Article
    Mikaberidze, Alexey; Gokhale, Chaitanya S.; Bargués-Ribera, Maria; et al. (2025)
    PLOS Sustainability and Transformation
    Epidemics of plant diseases are estimated to cause significant economic losses in crop production. Fungicide applications are widely used to control crop diseases but incur substantial indirect costs. One essential class of indirect costs arises due to the evolution of fungicide resistance. This indirect cost must be estimated reliably to design economic policy for more sustainable use of fungicides. Such estimation is difficult because the cost depends on economic parameters and the evo-epidemiological properties of crop pathogens. Even a conceptual framework for such estimation is missing. To address this problem, we combined a spatially implicit mathematical model of crop epidemics with an economic analysis at the landscape scale. We investigated how the net economic return from a landscape depends on the proportion of fungicide-treated fields. We discovered a pattern of accelerating (or decelerating) returns, contrary to expected diminishing returns. Next, we calculated the economic cost of the evolution of fungicide resistance as the difference between the optimal net return of the landscape in the absence and presence of resistance. We found that this cost depends strongly on the fungicide price, the degree of resistance, the pathogen’s basic reproduction number and the yield loss due to disease. Surprisingly, the cost declines with the fungicide price and exhibits a non-monotonic pattern as a function of the basic reproduction number. Hence, to calculate the cost, we must estimate these parameters robustly, incorporating variations in environmental conditions, crop varieties and the genetic composition of pathogen populations. Appropriate estimation of the cost of resistance evolution can inform economic policy and encourage more sustainable use of fungicides.
  • Circular bioeconomy practices and their associations with household food security in four RUNRES African city regions
    Item type: Journal Article
    Sekabira, Haruna; Feleke, Shiferaw; Manyong, Victor; et al. (2024)
    PLOS Sustainability and Transformation
    Achieving the United Nation’s 2030 agenda which aims, among other goals, to ensure sustainable consumption and production patterns, requires a sustainable resource use model deployed at scale across global food systems. A circular bioeconomy (CBE) model of resource use has been proposed to reuse of organic waste in agricultural production to enhance food security. However, despite several initiatives recently introduced towards establishing a CBE in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), minimal scientific efforts have been dedicated to understanding the association of CBE practices and food security. This study use data from 777 smallholder farm households from DRC, Ethiopia, Rwanda, and South Africa, to examine associations between three CBE practices (use of organic waste as compost, as livestock feed, and sorting waste) and household food security. Using different regression and propensity score matching models (PSM). Result reveal that using CBE practices more likely adds a 0.203 score of food insecurity access prevalence (HFIAP), 1.283 food insecurity access scale (HFIAS-score) and 0.277 for household dietary diversity score (HDDS) among households using CBE practiced groups. Associations regarding using organic waste as compost are generally positive but insignificant, while those with sorting waste are significantly and consistently negative. Thus, CBE innovations aiming to enhance household food security could prioritize organic waste valorization into livestock feed consider socio economic aspects such as access to land, access to market, education level, using mobile phone, income and city regions where interventions took place. However, prior sorting of waste is necessary to enable effective waste valorization.
Publications 1 - 2 of 2