Journal: Nature Geoscience

Abbreviation

Nat. Geosci.

Publisher

Nature

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ISSN

1752-0908
1752-0894

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Publications 1 - 10 of 204
  • An update on Earth's energy balance in light of the latest global observations
    Item type: Journal Article
    Stephens, Graeme L.; Li, Juilin; Wild, Martin; et al. (2012)
    Nature Geoscience
  • Lusi mud eruption triggered by geometric focusing of seismic waves
    Item type: Journal Article
    Lupi, Matteo; Saenger, Erik H.; Fuchs, F.; et al. (2013)
    Nature Geoscience
  • Subduction zone earthquake as potential trigger of submarine hydrocarbon seepage
    Item type: Journal Article
    Fischer, D.; Mogollon, J. M.; Strasser, M.; et al. (2013)
    Nature Geoscience
  • Solid-state plastic deformation in the dynamic interior of a differentiated asteroid
    Item type: Journal Article
    Tkalcec, B. J.; Golabek, G. J.; Brenker, F. E. (2013)
    Nature Geoscience
  • Consistent geographical patterns of changes in high-impact European heatwaves
    Item type: Other Journal Item
    Fischer, Erich M.; Schär, Christoph (2010)
    Nature Geoscience
  • Reversal of the impact chain for actionable climate information
    Item type: Review Article
    Pfleiderer, Peter; Frölicher, Thomas L.; Kropf, Chahan M.; et al. (2025)
    Nature Geoscience
    Escalating impacts of climate change underscore the risks posed by crossing potentially irreversible Earth and socioecological system thresholds and adaptation limits. However, limitations in the provision of actionable climate information may hinder an anticipatory response. Here we suggest a reversal of the traditional impact chain methodology as an end-user focused approach linking specific climate risk thresholds, including at the local level, to emissions pathways. We outline the socioeconomic and value judgement dimensions that can inform the identification of such risk thresholds. The applicability of the approach is highlighted by three examples that estimate the required CO2 emissions constraints to avoid critical levels of health-related heat risks in Berlin, fire weather in Portugal and glacier mass loss in High Mountain Asia. We argue that linking risk threshold exceedance directly to global emissions benchmarks can aid the understanding of the benefits of stringent emissions reductions for societies and local decision-makers.
  • High solar cycle spectral variations inconsistent with stratospheric ozone observations
    Item type: Journal Article
    Ball, W.T.; Haigh, J.D.; Rozanov, Eugene; et al. (2016)
    Nature Geoscience
  • Randomness of megathrust earthquakes implied by rapid stress recovery after the Japan earthquake
    Item type: Journal Article
    Tormann, Thessa; Enescu, Bogdan; Woessner, Jochen; et al. (2015)
    Nature Geoscience
  • Large CO2 removal potential of woody debris preservation in managed forests
    Item type: Journal Article
    Luo, Yiqi; Wei, Ning; Lu, Xingjie; et al. (2025)
    Nature Geoscience
    Limiting climate warming to 1.5 °C requires reductions in greenhouse gas emissions and CO2 removal. While various CO2 removal strategies have been explored to achieve global net-zero greenhouse gas emissions and account for legacy emissions, additional exploration is warranted to examine more durable, scalable and sustainable approaches to achieve climate targets. Here we show that preserving woody debris in managed forests can remove gigatonnes of CO2 from the atmosphere sustainably based on a carbon cycle analysis using three Earth system models. Woody debris is produced from logging, sawmill wastes and abandoned woody products, and can be preserved in deep soil to lengthen its residence time (a measure of durability) by thousands of years. Preserving annual woody debris production in managed forests has the capacity to remove 769–937 GtCO2 from the atmosphere cumulatively (10.1–12.4 GtCO2 yr−1 on average) from 2025 to 2100, if its residence time is lengthened for 100–2,000 years and after 5% CO2 removal is discounted to account for CO2 emission due to machine operation for wood debris preservation. This translates to a reduction in global temperatures of 0.35–0.42 °C. Given the large potential, relatively low cost and long durability, future efforts should be focused on establishing large-scale demonstration projects for this technology in a variety of contexts, with rigorous monitoring of CO2 removal, its co-benefits and side-effects.
  • Megafloods in Europe can be anticipated from observations in hydrologically similar catchments
    Item type: Journal Article
    Bertola, Miriam; Blöschl, Günter; Bohac, Milon; et al. (2023)
    Nature Geoscience
    Megafloods that far exceed previously observed records often take citizens and experts by surprise, resulting in extremely severe damage and loss of life. Existing methods based on local and regional information rarely go beyond national borders and cannot predict these floods well because of limited data on megafloods, and because flood generation processes of extremes differ from those of smaller, more frequently observed events. Here we analyse river discharge observations from over 8,000 gauging stations across Europe and show that recent megafloods could have been anticipated from those previously observed in other places in Europe. Almost all observed megafloods (95.5%) fall within the envelope values estimated from previous floods in other similar places on the continent, implying that local surprises are not surprising at the continental scale. This holds also for older events, indicating that megafloods have not changed much in time relative to their spatial variability. The underlying concept of the study is that catchments with similar flood generation processes produce similar outliers. It is thus essential to transcend national boundaries and learn from other places across the continent to avoid surprises and save lives.
Publications 1 - 10 of 204