Journal: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Abbreviation

BAMS

Publisher

American Meteorological Society

Journal Volumes

ISSN

0003-0007
1520-0477

Description

Filters

Reset filters

Search Results

Publications 1 - 10 of 79
  • Dynamics and Predictability of El Nino-Southern Oscillation: An Australian Perspective on Progress and Challenges
    Item type: Journal Article
    Santoso, Agus; Hendon, Harry; Watkins, Andrew; et al. (2019)
    Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
  • SNOWMIP2: An Evaluation of Forest Snow Process Simulations
    Item type: Journal Article
    Essery, Richard; Rutter, Nick; Pomeroy, John; et al. (2009)
    Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
  • The art and sciences of climate model tuning
    Item type: Journal Article
    Hourdin, Frédéric; Mauritsen, Thorsten; Gettelman, Andrew; et al. (2017)
    Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
  • Enhancing Research-to-Operations in Hydrological Forecasting: Innovations across Scales and Horizons
    Item type: Journal Article
    Pechlivanidis, Ilias G.; Du, Yiheng; Bennett, James; et al. (2025)
    Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
    Over the past 20 years, the Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Experiment (HEPEX) international community of practice has advanced the science and practice of hydrological ensemble prediction and its application in impact- and risk-based decision-making, fostering innovations through cutting-edge techniques and data that enhance water-related sectors. Here, we present insights from those 20 years on the key priorities for (co)creating broadly applicable hydrological forecasting systems that add value across spatial scales and time horizons. We highlight the advancement of hydrological forecasting chains through rigorous data management that incorporates diverse, high-quality data sources, data assimilation techniques, and the application of artificial intelligence (AI) to improve predictive accuracy. HEPEX has played a critical role in enhancing the reliability of water resources and water-related risk management globally by standardizing ensemble forecasting. This effort complements HEPEX’s broader initiative to strengthen research to operations, making innovative forecasting solutions both practical and accessible. Additionally, efforts have been made toward supporting the United Nations Early Warnings for All initiative through developing robust and reliable early warning systems by means of global training, education and capacity development, and the sharing of technology. Finally, we note that the integration of advanced science, user-centric methods, and global collaboration can provide a solid framework for improving the prediction and management of hydrological extremes, aligning forecasting systems with the dynamic needs of water resource and risk management in a changing climate. To effectively meet future demands, it is crucial to accelerate the integration of innovative science within operational frameworks, fostering adaptable and resilient hydrological forecasting systems globally.
  • Kilometer-scale climate models: Prospects and challenges
    Item type: Journal Article
    Schär, Christoph; Fuhrer, Oliver; Arteaga, Andrea; et al. (2020)
    Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
  • Advances in the prediction of MJO-Teleconnections in the S2S forecast systems
    Item type: Journal Article
    Stan, Cristiana; Zheng, Cheng; Chang, Edmund Kar-Man; et al. (2022)
    Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
    This study evaluates the ability of state-of-the-art subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecasting systems to represent and predict the teleconnections of the Madden Julian Oscillations and their effects on weather in terms of midlatitude weather patterns and North Atlantic tropical cyclones. This evaluation of forecast systems applies novel diagnostics developed to track teleconnections along their preferred pathways in the troposphere and stratosphere, and to measure the global and regional responses induced by teleconnections across both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. Results of this study will help the modeling community understand to what extent the potential to predict the weather on S2S time scales is achieved by the current generation of forecasting systems, while informing where to focus further development efforts. The findings of this study will also provide impact modelers and decision makers with a better understanding of the potential of S2S predictions related to MJO teleconnections.
  • When during Their Life Cycle Are Extratropical Cyclones Attended by Fronts?
    Item type: Journal Article
    Schemm, Sebastian; Sprenger, Michael; Wernli, Heini (2018)
    Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
  • Antarctica and the Southern Ocean
    Item type: Other Journal Item
    Raphael, Marilyn N.; Clem, Kyle R.; Adjou, Mohamed; et al. (2025)
    Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
  • The Iceland Greenland Seas Project
    Item type: Journal Article
    Renfrew, Ian A.; Pickart, Robert S.; Våge, Kjetil; et al. (2019)
    Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
    The Iceland Greenland Seas Project (IGP) is a coordinated atmosphere–ocean research program investigating climate processes in the source region of the densest waters of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. During February and March 2018, a field campaign was executed over the Iceland and southern Greenland Seas that utilized a range of observing platforms to investigate critical processes in the region, including a research vessel, a research aircraft, moorings, sea gliders, floats, and a meteorological buoy. A remarkable feature of the field campaign was the highly coordinated deployment of the observing platforms, whereby the research vessel and aircraft tracks were planned in concert to allow simultaneous sampling of the atmosphere, the ocean, and their interactions. This joint planning was supported by tailor-made convection-permitting weather forecasts and novel diagnostics from an ensemble prediction system. The scientific aims of the IGP are to characterize the atmospheric forcing and the ocean response of coupled processes; in particular, cold-air outbreaks in the vicinity of the marginal ice zone and their triggering of oceanic heat loss, and the role of freshwater in the generation of dense water masses. The campaign observed the life cycle of a long-lasting cold-air outbreak over the Iceland Sea and the development of a cold-air outbreak over the Greenland Sea. Repeated profiling revealed the immediate impact on the ocean, while a comprehensive hydrographic survey provided a rare picture of these subpolar seas in winter. A joint atmosphere–ocean approach is also being used in the analysis phase, with coupled observational analysis and coordinated numerical modeling activities underway.
  • Independent Quality Assessment of Essential Climate Variables: Lessons Learned from the Copernicus Climate Change Service
    Item type: Journal Article
    Yang, Chunxue; Cagnazzo, Chiara; Artale, Vincenzo; et al. (2022)
    Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
    If climate services are to lead to effective use of climate information in decision-making to enable the transition to a climate-smart, climate-ready world, then the question of trust in the products and services is of paramount importance. The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) has been actively grappling with how to build such trust: provision of demonstrably independent assessments of the quality of products, which was deemed an important element in such trust-building processes. C3S provides access to essential climate variables (ECVs) from multiple sources to a broad set of users ranging from scientists to private companies and decision-makers. Here we outline the approach undertaken to coherently assess the quality of a suite of observation- and reanalysis-based ECV products covering the atmosphere, ocean, land, and cryosphere. The assessment is based on four pillars: basic data checks, maturity of the datasets, fitness for purpose (scientific use cases and climate studies), and guidance to users. It is undertaken independently by scientific experts and presented alongside the datasets in a fully traceable, replicable, and transparent manner. The methodology deployed is detailed, and example assessments are given. These independent scientific quality assessments are intended to guide users to ensure they use tools and datasets that are fit for purpose to answer their specific needs rather than simply use the first product they alight on. This is the first such effort to develop and apply an assessment framework consistently to all ECVs. Lessons learned and future perspectives are outlined to potentially improve future assessment activities and thus climate services.
Publications 1 - 10 of 79