Mauro Gilli
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- La diffusion des technologies militaires: mythes et réalitésItem type: Other Publication
Politique de sécurité: analyses du CSSGilli, Andrea; Gilli, Mauro (2019)Tout le monde s’accorde de plus en plus à reconnaître que la mondialisation et les progrès dans le domaine de la communication favorisent la diffusion des capacités industrielles de défense, ce qui affaiblit la position établie des pays occidentaux. Les faits tendent toutefois à montrer que les nouvelles possibilités, notamment le cyberespionnage, s’avèrent insuffisantes pour copier et reproduire les systèmes d’armes les plus perfectionnés. - Will the Drone Always Get Through? Offensive Myths and Defensive RealitiesItem type: Journal Article
Security StudiesCalcara, Antonio; Gilli, Andrea; Gilli, Mauro; et al. (2022)Do emerging and disruptive technologies yield an offensive advantage? In this Security Studies article, Antonio Calcara, Andrea Gilli, CSS' Mauro Gilli, and Ivan Zaccagnini investigate whether drones shift the offense-defense balance toward the offense - that is, whether drone technology can or will defeat current and next-generation air defense systems. - Oltre un secolo di potere aereo: teoria e praticaItem type: Other Publication
Documenti IAIGilli, Andrea; Gilli, Mauro; Marrone, Alessandro (2024)Necessità operative, cambiamenti tecnologici, innovazioni concettuali e dottrinali hanno influenzato, per oltre 120 anni, lo sviluppo e l’impiego tattico, operativo e strategico del potere aereo e aerospaziale. Di fronte all’incertezza geopolitica o ai successivi cambiamenti tecnologici, gli sviluppi dottrinali hanno giocato un ruolo importante nel guidare le trasformazioni in atto – a volte correttamente, altre volte meno. A un primo ventennio pionieristico, segue in Europa e negli Stati Uniti un grande fermento teorico con le prime applicazioni pratiche. La Seconda guerra mondiale rappresenta un tragico banco di prova che influenzerà lo sviluppo del potere aereo fino agli anni ’50. Se negli anni ’60 e ’70 il potere aereo è impiegato principalmente in Asia e Medio Oriente, con gli insegnamenti del caso, nel ventennio successivo è in Occidente che la rivoluzione tecnologica e l’evoluzione dottrinale ne segnano lo sviluppo. Il XXI secolo è marcato da un crescente confronto geopolitico che tra le principali arene di competizione vede il dominio aero e lo spazio. La storia del potere aereo e aerospaziale ne evidenza il fondamentale ruolo strategico non solo come strumento di deterrenza e coercizione ma anche – per via dei suoi enormi costi economici e della significativa complessità tecnologica – di competizione in tempo di pace e guerra. - Drones and Offensive Advantage: An Exchange – The Authors ReplyItem type: Journal Article
Security StudiesCalcara, Antonio; Gilli, Andrea; Gilli, Mauro; et al. (2023)In conclusion, both replies do not question the methodological rigor or the empirical accuracy of our analysis. On the contrary, Schneider acknowledges that our analysis is correct. Along the same lines, Lushenko and Kreps recognize that it is an important starting point for future research—for example, for assessing the impact of current- and next-generation technologies on international stability. Any scholarly article should aim at methodological rigor, empirical accuracy, and providing the starting point for further research. We are pleased that, despite their criticisms, the respondents acknowledge the merit of our article. - Correspondence: Military-Technological Imitation and Rising PowersItem type: Other Publication
International SecurityHorowitz, Michael C.; Pasandideh, Shahryar; Gilli, Andrea; et al. (2019) - AI Governance and Military Affairs – Artificial Intelligence and Arms Control: What it Means for SingaporeItem type: Other Publication
RSIS CommentaryGilli, Andrea; Gilli, Mauro (2020)Rapid progress in technologies such as artificial intelligence is generating global concerns; while countries invest in R&D, their armed forces aim to integrate such technologies in their force structures. How will this affect the future of arms control? For the case of Singapore, CSS Mauro Gilli and Andrea Gilli respond in this report. - Militärtechnologie: Mythos ImitationItem type: Other Publication
CSS Analysen zur SicherheitspolitikGilli, Andrea; Gilli, Mauro (2019)Globalisierung und verbesserte Kommunikation fördern die Verbreitung von Ressourcen der Verteidigungsindustrie und lassen die Vormachtstellung westlicher Länder bröckeln – darüber besteht zunehmend Konsens. Allerdings legt empirische Evidenz nahe, dass die fortschrittlichsten Waffensysteme trotz Cyberspionage weder kopiert noch nachgeahmt werden können. - Military Technology: The Realities of ImitationItem type: Other Publication
CSS Analyses in Security PolicyGilli, Andrea; Gilli, Mauro (2019)According to a growing consensus, globalization and advances in communication are promoting the diffusion of defense-industrial capabilities, thus eroding the established position of Western countries. The empirical evidence, however, suggests that even with newly available opportunities, including cyber espionage, the most advanced weapon systems remain very difficult to copy and replicate. - The Diffusion of Drone Warfare? Industrial, Organizational, and Infrastructural ConstraintsItem type: Journal Article
Security StudiesGilli, Andrea; Gilli, Mauro (2016)Many scholars and policymakers are concerned that the emergence of drone warfare—a first step toward the robotics age—will promote instability and conflict at the international level. This view depends on the widely shared assumption among International Relations scholars that military hardware spreads easily, especially in the age of globalization and real-time communications. In this article, we question this consensus. Drawing from the literature in management, we advance a new theory of diffusion of military innovations and test its two underlying causal mechanisms. First, we argue that designing, developing, and manufacturing advanced weapon systems require laboratories, and testing and production facilities, as well as know-how and experience that cannot be easily borrowed from other fields. Second, we argue that the adoption of military innovations requires both organizational and infrastructural support. We test our two claims on three types of combat-effective drones: loitering attack munitions (LAMs), intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance drones (ISR), and unmanned combat autonomous vehicles (UCAVs). We find that even wealthy, advanced, and militarily capable countries such as the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France have struggled to produce or adopt such platforms. We conclude that concerns about the diffusion of drone warfare appear significantly exaggerated, as do claims that globalization redistributes military power at the global level. More generally, our analysis sheds light on how the interaction between platform and adoption challenges affects the rate and speed of diffusion of different military innovations. - Switzerland’s Role in European RearmamentItem type: Other Publication
CSS Policy PerspectivesDossi, Amos; Gilli, Mauro (2025)Serious efforts to rearm Europe should leverage all relevant industrial capabilities on the continent – including, not least, those of Switzerland.
Publications1 - 10 of 28