Brian G. Carlson


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Carlson

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Brian G.

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0000-0002-8170-3183

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2017 - 201932020 - 202331
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Publications1 - 10 of 34
  • Sicherheitspolitische Trends 2021 – 2029: Die Post-COVID-19 Welt
    Item type: Other Publication
    Haas, Michael; Vuille, Annabelle; Schepers, Névine; et al. (2020)
    CSS Briefing Notes
    Every year, the CSS analyzes developments in world politics and their potential consequences for Switzerland over the next eight years. This year, we focus on the impact of the coronavirus pandemic around the world. Among others, topics include the US and NATO after Trump; the role of drones and robotics in armed forces; how Russia and China will likely emerge from the coronavirus crisis; security trends in regions around the Mediterranean including the Gulf, and how vaccines could help overcome the pandemic.
  • Strategic Trends 2023
    Item type: Edited Volume
    Carlson, Brian G.; Fischer, Sophie-Charlotte; Lieberherr, Boas; et al. (2023)
    Strategic Trends
    Strategic Trends 2023 offers a concise analysis of major developments in world affairs, with a primary focus on international security. In the first chapter, Brian G. Carlson discusses the challenges to world order that China and Russia pose, both separately and through their partnership. In the second chapter, Sophie-Charlotte Fischer analyzes the US quest to deny China access to critical technology and know-how through allied export controls. In the third chapter, Névine Schepers discusses how a worsening global security environment and rising nuclear threats have brought to the forefront the crucial role played by US alliance networks in both Europe and Asia, the extended deterrence arrangements on which they rely and the increasing interconnectedness between both regions. In the final chapter, Boas Lieberherr analyzes India’s foreign policy and argues that New Delhi seeks to avoid overdependence on any country while leveraging diverse partnerships in a quest for security and status as an emerging major power.
  • China-Russia Relations and Transatlantic Security
    Item type: Book Chapter
    Carlson, Brian G. (2021)
    Strategic Trends ~ Strategic Trends 2021: Key Developments in Global Affairs
    The China-Russia relationship is an increasingly important factor in transatlantic security. Russia and China pose security challenges to the Euro-Atlantic region in distinct and mostly uncoordinated ways, but their partnership allows both countries to pursue spheres of influence close to home. The United States and its allies will therefore face growing security challenges in both the Euro-Atlantic and Asia-Pacific regions. The rise of China will force the United States to devote increased attention and military assets to Asia, underscoring the need for a strengthened European pillar in NATO.
  • Strategic Trends 2021
    Item type: Edited Volume
    Carlson, Brian G.; Kamasa, Julian; Maduz, Linda; et al. (2021)
    Strategic Trends
    Strategic Trends 2021 offers a concise analysis of major developments in world affairs, with a primary focus on international security. In the first chapter, Brian G. Carlson explores the impact of the China-Russia relationship on transatlantic security. In the second chapter, Julian Kamasa assesses the potential for security cooperation among France, Germany, and Britain in the E3 and other formats following Brexit. In the third chapter, Niklas Masuhr analyzes Turkey’s recent military interventions. He notes the limited success of them and their reliance on Russia’s acquiescence in them. In the fourth chapter, Lisa Watanabe describes how the US retreat from the Middle East has allowed other powers, especially Russia and China, to strengthen their involvement in the region. In the final chapter, Linda Maduz analyzes the responses by Japan and South Korea to China’s rise and to concerns about continued US engagement in Asia.
  • The Search for European Strategic Thinking on Russia and China
    Item type: Journal Article
    Carlson, Brian G. (2021)
    The ASAN Forum
    Prevailing trends in world politics, especially the return of great-power rivalry, create an urgent need for new strategic thinking in Europe. In addition to focusing on the two countries individually, European strategic thinking must account for the Russia-China partnership, which has grown especially close in recent years and now presents its own distinct set of challenges. The effort to formulate European strategic thinking to address these issues remains underdeveloped, however, argues CSS’ Brian Carlson in this article for the Asan Forum.
  • Sicherheitspolitische Trends 2022–2030: Grossmächtekonflikt und Technologiewettbewerb
    Item type: Report
    Carlson, Brian G.; Masuhr, Niklas; Lieberherr, Boas; et al. (2021)
    CSS Studies
    Das CSS analysiert jedes Jahr die weltpolitischen Entwicklungen und ihre möglichen Folgen für die Schweiz in den nächsten acht Jahren. In diesem Jahr konzentrieren wir uns auf Grossmächtekonflikte und den Technologiewettbewerb. Unter anderem beschäftigen wir uns mit Trends der chinesischen und russischen Grossmächte; dem Potenzial und den Risiken von AUKUS, dem neuen trilateralen Militärbündnis zwischen Australien, dem Vereinigten Königreich und den Vereinigten Staaten; Europas Platz in der Welt zwischen China und den USA; Sicherheitsszenarien im «Indo-Pazifik»; wie sich die NATO den Herausforderungen durch die Grossmächte Russlands und Chinas anpassen kann; und die Türkei als Konfliktakteur. All diese politisch-strategischen Strömungen finden im Zeichen zweier Megatrends statt: Einer sich immer mehr beschleunigenden Technologieentwicklung und dem Klimawandel.
  • L’Asie centrale et la rivalité entre grandes puissances
    Item type: Other Publication
    Carlson, Brian G. (2023)
    Politique de sécurité: analyses du CSS
    La Chine pourrait étendre de façon significative son influence en Asie centrale, comme l’a montré son récent sommet avec les dirigeants de la région. Cette situation est source d’opportunités et de défis pour les pays d’Asie centrale, qui doivent gérer les effets de la rivalité entre grandes puissances.
  • Russia’s War in Ukraine: China’s Calculus
    Item type: Other Publication
    Carlson, Brian G. (2022)
    CSS Analyses in Security Policy
    China confronts difficult choices in responding to Russia’s war in Ukraine. The war presents China with several risks, but China to view Russia as a valuable partner. China remains cautious about supporting Russia in ways that would incur heavy costs, such as helping it to evade sanctions, but it is likely to continue providing rhetorical support and resisting calls to rein in Russia.
  • China, Russia, and the Future of World Order
    Item type: Book Chapter
    Carlson, Brian G. (2023)
    Strategic Trends ~ Strategic Trends 2023: Key Developments in Global Affairs
    China and Russia pose illiberal challenges to world order, most visibly at present in Russia’s aggression against Ukraine and in the threat that China poses to Taiwan. Shared views on world order, particularly the desire to reduce US power and to resist universal claims for democracy and human rights, are an important driver of the China-Russia partnership. Despite recent setbacks, the concept of a liberal international order remains valuable in addressing the challenges that China and Russia pose.
  • Central Asia in an Era of Great-Power Rivalry
    Item type: Other Publication
    Carlson, Brian G. (2023)
    CSS Analyses in Security Policy
    China has an opportunity to expand its influence in Central Asia significantly, as its recent summit with regional leaders demonstrated. This creates both opportunities and challenges for the Central Asian countries, which must contend with the effects of great-power rivalry on their region.
Publications1 - 10 of 34