A Parsimonious Model of AHV Expenditures


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Date

2024-10

Publication Type

Report

ETH Bibliography

yes

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Abstract

We develop a simple model of AHV expenditures based on publicly- available and easily-accessible Swiss data. We then use the model to forecast expenditures through 2040 under different population and macroeconomic scenarios. Under our baseline scenario, annual expenditures grow by around 80% to just over 90 billion CHF by 2040. We give particular attention to pensions paid abroad and the evolution of the Swiss age distribution.

Publication status

published

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Book title

Journal / series

Volume

Pages / Article No.

Publisher

Bundesamt für Sozialversicherungen (BSV)

Event

Edition / version

1. Auflage

Methods

Software

Geographic location

Date collected

Date created

Subject

Organisational unit

06338 - KOF FB KOF Lab / KOF FB KOF Lab check_circle
02525 - KOF Konjunkturforschungsstelle / KOF Swiss Economic Institute check_circle
06330 - KOF FB Konjunktur / KOF Macroeconomic forecasting check_circle

Notes

Dieser Bericht wurde irrtümlich kurzfristig unter einer CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 Lizenz veröffentlicht.

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