Future memories are not needed for large classes of POMDPs


Date

2023-05

Publication Type

Journal Article

ETH Bibliography

yes

Citations

Altmetric

Data

Abstract

Optimal policies for partially observed Markov decision processes (POMDPs) are history-dependent: Decisions are made based on the entire history of observations. Memoryless policies, which take decisions based on the last observation only, are generally considered useless in the literature because we can construct POMDP instances for which optimal memoryless policies are arbitrarily worse than history-dependent ones. Our purpose is to challenge this belief. We show that optimal memoryless policies can be computed efficiently using mixed integer linear programming (MILP), and perform reasonably well on a wide range of instances from the literature. When strengthened with valid inequalities, the linear relaxation of this MILP provides high quality upper-bounds on the value of an optimal history dependent policy. Furthermore, when used with a finite horizon POMDP problem with memoryless policies as rolling optimization problem, a model predictive control approach leads to an efficient history-dependent policy, which we call the short memory in the future (SMF) policy. Basically, the SMF policy leverages these memoryless policies to build an approximation of the Bellman value function. Numerical experiments show the efficiency of our approach on benchmark instances from the literature.

Publication status

published

Editor

Book title

Volume

51 (3)

Pages / Article No.

270 - 277

Publisher

Elsevier

Event

Edition / version

Methods

Software

Geographic location

Date collected

Date created

Subject

Partially observable Markov decision process; Deterministic policies; Mathematical programming

Organisational unit

02286 - Swiss Data Science Center (SDSC) / Swiss Data Science Center (SDSC) check_circle

Notes

Funding

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