Seismic coupling and Hazard assessment of the Himalaya


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Date

2023-07-21

Publication Type

Book Chapter

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Abstract

This chapter provides a description of what is currently known in the Himalaya about regional and local seismicity, the surface strain budget, the seismically active structures and how to incorporate these elements into seismic hazard assessment. It describes current surface strain rate and how such surface deformation informs us on the state of the main faults that might rupture in the future. The chapter considers surface deformation rates as measured by Global Navigation Satellite System at instrumented sites over whole Himalayan range and derive a probabilistic model of coupling of the Main Himalayan Thrust. It presents the evaluation of seismic hazard using ground motion prediction equations to derive maps of peak ground acceleration expected at certain probability levels during the next decades. The chapter concludes by stating that, although risk can be mitigated to some level, seismic hazard and all subsequent related hazards in Himalaya is high and will remain as such at all times.

Publication status

published

Book title

Himalaya, Dynamics of a Giant 3: Current Activity of the Himalayan Range

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155 - 190

Publisher

ISTE

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