Axhausen, Kay W.
- Working Paper
We propose the multivariate probit model with sample selection for travel demand modeling to simultaneously capture correlated and mutually exclusive choices. Our modeling approach is suitable for increasingly diverse, but complementary, means of transport and new kinds of travel demand. In contrast to multinomial logit models, each single choice is modeled, instead of each single element in the choice set. The model is empirically applied to data from the 2010 Swiss transportation micro-census. In Switzerland, residents can complement their choice of car ownership by purchasing a public transportation ‘season ticket’, with either nation-wide or local coverage (mutually exclusive). We capture the influence of land use by accessibility at the municipality level, finding that, in less accessible regions, car ownership is unavoidable, whereas with better accessibility, car use can be substituted through season tickets. This model allows planners and policy makers to quantify the long-term effects of changes in accessibility on the choices of cars and season tickets Show more
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Journal / seriesArbeitsberichte Verkehrs- und Raumplanung
PublisherIVT, ETH Zürich
Organisational unit03521 - Axhausen, Kay W.
02226 - NSL - Netzwerk Stadt und Landschaft / NSL - Network City and Landscape
NotesSubmitted 24 July 2016.
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