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dc.contributor.author
Sornette, Didier
dc.contributor.author
Utkin, Sergey
dc.contributor.author
Saichev, Alexander
dc.date.accessioned
2024-05-14T05:47:55Z
dc.date.available
2017-06-19T13:19:30Z
dc.date.available
2024-05-14T05:47:55Z
dc.date.issued
2008-06
dc.identifier.issn
1539-3755
dc.identifier.issn
1063-651X
dc.identifier.issn
1095-3787
dc.identifier.issn
1550-2376
dc.identifier.other
10.1103/PhysRevE.77.066109
en_US
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/161997
dc.description.abstract
We develop an efficient numerical scheme to solve accurately the set of nonlinear integral equations derived previously in [A. Saichev and D. Sornette, J. Geophys. Res. 112, B04313 (2007)], which describes the distribution of interevent times in the framework of a general model of earthquake clustering with long memory. Detailed comparisons between the linear and nonlinear versions of the theory and direct synthetic catalogs show that the nonlinear theory provides an excellent fit to the synthetic catalogs, while there are significant biases resulting from the use of the linear approximation. We then address the suggestions proposed by some authors to use the empirical distribution of interevent times to obtain a better determination of the so-called clustering parameter. Our theory and tests against synthetic and empirical catalogs find a rather dramatic lack of power for the distribution of interevent times to distinguish between quite different sets of parameters, casting doubt on the usefulness of this statistic for the specific purpose of identifying the clustering parameter.
en_US
dc.language.iso
en
en_US
dc.publisher
American Physical Society
en_US
dc.title
Solution of the Nonlinear Theory and Tests of Earthquake Recurrence Times
en_US
dc.type
Journal Article
dc.date.published
2008-06-11
ethz.journal.title
Physical Review E
ethz.journal.volume
77
en_US
ethz.journal.issue
6
en_US
ethz.journal.abbreviated
Phys. rev., E
ethz.pages.start
066109
en_US
ethz.size
10 p.
en_US
ethz.identifier.wos
ethz.publication.place
Ridge, NY
ethz.publication.status
published
en_US
ethz.leitzahl
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00012 - Lehre und Forschung::00007 - Departemente::02120 - Dep. Management, Technologie und Ökon. / Dep. of Management, Technology, and Ec.::03738 - Sornette, Didier (emeritus) / Sornette, Didier (emeritus)
en_US
ethz.leitzahl.certified
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00012 - Lehre und Forschung::00007 - Departemente::02120 - Dep. Management, Technologie und Ökon. / Dep. of Management, Technology, and Ec.::03738 - Sornette, Didier (emeritus) / Sornette, Didier (emeritus)
ethz.relation.isNewVersionOf
handle/20.500.11850/8409
ethz.date.deposited
2017-06-19T13:20:30Z
ethz.source
ECIT
ethz.identifier.importid
imp59364c2d1071877781
ethz.ecitpid
pub:25005
ethz.eth
yes
en_US
ethz.availability
Metadata only
en_US
ethz.rosetta.installDate
2017-07-31T17:29:12Z
ethz.rosetta.lastUpdated
2024-02-02T01:53:28Z
ethz.rosetta.exportRequired
true
ethz.rosetta.versionExported
true
ethz.COinS
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