Show simple item record

dc.contributor.author
Zscheischler, Jakob
dc.contributor.author
Seneviratne, Sonia I.
dc.date.accessioned
2017-10-27T15:18:56Z
dc.date.available
2017-10-06T02:04:17Z
dc.date.available
2017-10-27T15:18:56Z
dc.date.issued
2017-06-02
dc.identifier.issn
2375-2548
dc.identifier.other
10.1126/sciadv.1700263
en_US
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/190433
dc.identifier.doi
10.3929/ethz-b-000190433
dc.description.abstract
Compound climate extremes are receiving increasing attention because of their disproportionate impacts on humans and ecosystems. However, risks assessments generally focus on univariate statistics. We analyze the co-occurrence of hot and dry summers and show that these are correlated, inducing a much higher frequency of concurrent hot and dry summers than what would be assumed from the independent combination of the univariate statistics. Our results demonstrate how the dependence structure between variables affects the occurrence frequency of multivariate extremes. Assessments based on univariate statistics can thus strongly underestimate risks associated with given extremes, if impacts depend on multiple (dependent) variables. We conclude that a multivariate perspective is necessary to appropriately assess changes in climate extremes and their impacts and to design adaptation strategies.
en_US
dc.format
application/pdf
dc.language.iso
en
en_US
dc.publisher
AAAS
en_US
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
dc.subject
Climate extremes
en_US
dc.subject
compound events
en_US
dc.subject
climate change
en_US
dc.subject
Risk
en_US
dc.subject
CMIP5
en_US
dc.title
Dependence of drivers affects risks associated with compound events
en_US
dc.type
Journal Article
dc.rights.license
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International
dc.date.published
2017-06-28
ethz.journal.title
Science Advances
ethz.journal.volume
3
en_US
ethz.journal.issue
6
en_US
ethz.journal.abbreviated
Sci Adv
ethz.pages.start
e1700263
en_US
ethz.size
10 p.
en_US
ethz.version.deposit
publishedVersion
en_US
ethz.identifier.wos
ethz.publication.place
Washington, DC
en_US
ethz.publication.status
published
en_US
ethz.leitzahl
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00012 - Lehre und Forschung::00007 - Departemente::02350 - Dep. Umweltsystemwissenschaften / Dep. of Environmental Systems Science::02717 - Institut für Atmosphäre und Klima / Inst. Atmospheric and Climate Science::03778 - Seneviratne, Sonia / Seneviratne, Sonia
ethz.leitzahl.certified
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00012 - Lehre und Forschung::00007 - Departemente::02350 - Dep. Umweltsystemwissenschaften / Dep. of Environmental Systems Science::02717 - Institut für Atmosphäre und Klima / Inst. Atmospheric and Climate Science::03778 - Seneviratne, Sonia / Seneviratne, Sonia
ethz.date.deposited
2017-10-06T02:04:22Z
ethz.source
WOS
ethz.eth
yes
en_US
ethz.availability
Open access
en_US
ethz.rosetta.installDate
2017-10-27T15:19:00Z
ethz.rosetta.lastUpdated
2021-02-14T19:49:05Z
ethz.rosetta.versionExported
true
ethz.COinS
ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.atitle=Dependence%20of%20drivers%20affects%20risks%20associated%20with%20compound%20events&rft.jtitle=Science%20Advances&rft.date=2017-06-02&rft.volume=3&rft.issue=6&rft.spage=e1700263&rft.issn=2375-2548&rft.au=Zscheischler,%20Jakob&Seneviratne,%20Sonia%20I.&rft.genre=article&
 Search print copy at ETH Library

Files in this item

Thumbnail

Publication type

Show simple item record