Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm
dc.contributor.author
van Vuuren, Detlef P.
dc.contributor.author
Stehfest, Elke
dc.contributor.author
Gernaat, David E. H. J.
dc.contributor.author
Doelman, Jonathan C.
dc.contributor.author
Van den Berg, Maarten
dc.contributor.author
Harmsen, Mathijs J.H.M.
dc.contributor.author
de Boer, Harmen Sytze
dc.contributor.author
Bouwman, Lex F.
dc.contributor.author
Daioglou, Vassilis
dc.contributor.author
Edelenbosch, Oreane Y.
dc.contributor.author
Girod, Bastien
dc.contributor.author
Kram, Tom
dc.contributor.author
Lassaletta, Luis
dc.contributor.author
Lucas, Paul L.
dc.contributor.author
van Meijl, Hans
dc.contributor.author
Müller, Christoph
dc.contributor.author
van Ruijven, Bas J.
dc.contributor.author
van der Sluis, Sietske
dc.contributor.author
Tabeau, Andrzej
dc.date.accessioned
2017-11-20T15:36:51Z
dc.date.available
2017-10-06T03:24:01Z
dc.date.available
2017-11-20T15:36:51Z
dc.date.issued
2017-01
dc.identifier.issn
0959-3780
dc.identifier.issn
1872-9495
dc.identifier.other
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.008
en_US
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/191577
dc.identifier.doi
10.3929/ethz-b-000191577
dc.description.abstract
This paper describes the possible developments in global energy use and production, land use, emissions and climate changes following the SSP1 storyline, a development consistent with the green growth (or sustainable development) paradigm (a more inclusive development respecting environmental boundaries). The results are based on the implementation using the IMAGE 3.0 integrated assessment model and are compared with a) other IMAGE implementations of the SSPs (SSP2 and SSP3) and b) the SSP1 implementation of other integrated assessment models. The results show that a combination of resource efficiency, preferences for sustainable production methods and investment in human development could lead to a strong transition towards a more renewable energy supply, less land use and lower anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions in 2100 than in 2010, even in the absence of explicit climate policies. At the same time, climate policy would still be needed to reduce emissions further, in order to reduce the projected increase of global mean temperature from 3 °C (SSP1 reference scenario) to 2 or 1.5 °C (in line with current policy targets). The SSP1 storyline could be a basis for further discussions on how climate policy can be combined with achieving other societal goals.
en_US
dc.format
application/pdf
dc.language.iso
en
en_US
dc.publisher
Elsevier
en_US
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.subject
Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs)
en_US
dc.subject
Sustainable development
en_US
dc.subject
Integrated assessment
en_US
dc.subject
Climate change research
en_US
dc.subject
Scenarios
en_US
dc.title
Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm
en_US
dc.type
Journal Article
dc.rights.license
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
dc.date.published
2016-06-24
ethz.journal.title
Global Environmental Change
ethz.journal.volume
42
en_US
ethz.journal.abbreviated
Glob. environ. change
ethz.pages.start
237
en_US
ethz.pages.end
250
en_US
ethz.version.deposit
publishedVersion
en_US
ethz.identifier.wos
ethz.identifier.scopus
ethz.publication.place
Amsterdam
en_US
ethz.publication.status
published
en_US
ethz.date.deposited
2017-10-06T03:24:15Z
ethz.source
WOS
ethz.eth
yes
en_US
ethz.availability
Open access
en_US
ethz.rosetta.installDate
2017-11-20T15:36:59Z
ethz.rosetta.lastUpdated
2022-03-28T18:13:50Z
ethz.rosetta.versionExported
true
ethz.COinS
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