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Guaranteed and computable bounds of approximation errors for the semi-discrete Biot problem
(2018)RICAM-ReportReport -
Guaranteed error control bounds for the stabilised space-time IgA approximations to parabolic problems
(2017)RICAM-ReportReport -
Should one follow movements in the oil price or in money supply? Forecasting quarterly GDP growth in Russia with higher-frequency indicators
(2017)BOFIT Discussion PapersGDP forecasters face tough choices over which leading indicators to follow and which forecasting models to use. To help resolve these issues, we examine a range of monthly indicators to forecast quarterly GDP growth in a major emerging economy, Russia. Numerous useful indicators are identified and forecast pooling of three model classes (bridge models, MIDAS models and unrestricted mixed-frequency models) are shown to outperform simple ...Working Paper -
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