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dc.contributor.author
Pfleiderer, Peter
dc.contributor.author
Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich
dc.contributor.author
Mengel, Matthias
dc.contributor.author
Rogelj, Joeri
dc.date.accessioned
2018-06-27T08:54:33Z
dc.date.available
2018-06-27T04:10:37Z
dc.date.available
2018-06-27T08:53:38Z
dc.date.available
2018-06-27T08:54:33Z
dc.date.issued
2018-06-01
dc.identifier.issn
1748-9326
dc.identifier.issn
1748-9318
dc.identifier.other
10.1088/1748-9326/aac319
en_US
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/272525
dc.identifier.doi
10.3929/ethz-b-000272525
dc.description.abstract
International climate policy uses global mean temperature rise limits as proxies for societally acceptable levels of climate change. These limits are informed by risk assessments which draw upon projections of climate impacts under various levels of warming. Here we illustrate that indicators used to define limits of warming and those used to track the evolution of the Earth System under climate change are not directly comparable. Depending on the methodological approach, differences can be time-variant and up to 0.2 °C for a warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels. This might lead to carbon budget overestimates of about 10 years of continued year-2015 emissions, and about a 10% increase in estimated 2100 sea-level rise. Awareness of this definitional mismatch is needed for a more effective communication between scientists and decision makers, as well as between the impact and physical climate science communities.
en_US
dc.format
application/pdf
en_US
dc.language.iso
en
en_US
dc.publisher
Institute of Physics
en_US
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/
dc.subject
Paris Agreement
en_US
dc.subject
1.5 degrees C
en_US
dc.subject
global mean temperature
en_US
dc.title
Global mean temperature indicators linked to warming levels avoiding climate risks
en_US
dc.type
Journal Article
dc.rights.license
Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported
ethz.journal.title
Environmental Research Letters
ethz.journal.volume
13
en_US
ethz.journal.issue
6
en_US
ethz.journal.abbreviated
Environ. Res. Lett.
ethz.pages.start
064015
en_US
ethz.size
7 p.
en_US
ethz.version.deposit
publishedVersion
en_US
ethz.identifier.wos
ethz.identifier.scopus
ethz.publication.place
Bristol
en_US
ethz.publication.status
published
en_US
ethz.leitzahl
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00012 - Lehre und Forschung::00007 - Departemente::02350 - Dep. Umweltsystemwissenschaften / Dep. of Environmental Systems Science::02717 - Institut für Atmosphäre und Klima / Inst. Atmospheric and Climate Science::03777 - Knutti, Reto / Knutti, Reto
ethz.leitzahl.certified
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00012 - Lehre und Forschung::00007 - Departemente::02350 - Dep. Umweltsystemwissenschaften / Dep. of Environmental Systems Science::02717 - Institut für Atmosphäre und Klima / Inst. Atmospheric and Climate Science::03777 - Knutti, Reto / Knutti, Reto
ethz.relation.isReferencedBy
10.3929/ethz-b-000418665
ethz.date.deposited
2018-06-27T04:11:35Z
ethz.source
WOS
ethz.eth
yes
en_US
ethz.availability
Open access
en_US
ethz.rosetta.installDate
2018-06-27T08:53:44Z
ethz.rosetta.lastUpdated
2021-02-15T00:32:47Z
ethz.rosetta.versionExported
true
ethz.COinS
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