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dc.contributor.author
Bigler, Christof
dc.contributor.author
Bugmann, Harald
dc.date.accessioned
2018-06-29T15:45:15Z
dc.date.available
2018-06-29T09:48:11Z
dc.date.available
2018-06-29T15:45:15Z
dc.date.issued
2018
dc.identifier.other
10.1038/s41598-018-27893-1
en_US
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/273052
dc.identifier.doi
10.3929/ethz-b-000273052
dc.description.abstract
Climate warming has advanced leaf unfolding of trees and shrubs, thus extending the growing period but potentially exposing plants to increased frost risk. The relative shifts in the timing of leaf unfolding vs. the timing and intensity of frost events determine whether frost risk changes under climate warming. Here we test whether the frost risk for unfolding leaves of 13 European tree and shrub species has changed over more than 60 years using dynamic state-space models and phenological observations from 264 sites located between 200 and 1900 m a.s.l. across Switzerland. Trees and shrubs currently feature sufficient safety margins regarding frost risk, which increase from early- to late-leafing species and tend to decrease with increasing elevation. Particularly after 1970 to 1990 and at higher elevations, leaf unfolding has advanced across all species. While the time between the last critical frost and leaf unfolding has shifted from predominantly positive trends in the late 1950s and 1960s to a trend reversal since the 2000s, the minimum temperature during leaf unfolding has mostly increased since the 1980s. These dynamic shifts in leaf unfolding and frost risk demonstrate species- and site-specific responses of trees and shrubs to climate cooling and warming.
en_US
dc.format
application/pdf
en_US
dc.language.iso
en
en_US
dc.publisher
Nature Publishing Group
en_US
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.title
Climate-induced shifts in leaf unfolding and frost risk of European trees and shrubs
en_US
dc.type
Journal Article
dc.rights.license
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
dc.date.published
2018-06-29
ethz.journal.title
Scientific Reports
ethz.journal.volume
8
en_US
ethz.journal.issue
1
en_US
ethz.pages.start
9865
en_US
ethz.size
10 p.
en_US
ethz.version.deposit
publishedVersion
en_US
ethz.identifier.wos
ethz.identifier.scopus
ethz.publication.place
London
en_US
ethz.publication.status
published
en_US
ethz.leitzahl
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00012 - Lehre und Forschung::00007 - Departemente::02350 - Dep. Umweltsystemwissenschaften / Dep. of Environmental Systems Science::02722 - Institut für Terrestrische Oekosysteme / Institute of Terrestrial Ecosystems::03535 - Bugmann, Harald / Bugmann, Harald
en_US
ethz.leitzahl
::ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich
ethz.leitzahl.certified
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00012 - Lehre und Forschung::00007 - Departemente::02350 - Dep. Umweltsystemwissenschaften / Dep. of Environmental Systems Science::02722 - Institut für Terrestrische Oekosysteme / Institute of Terrestrial Ecosystems::03535 - Bugmann, Harald / Bugmann, Harald
en_US
ethz.date.deposited
2018-06-29T09:48:11Z
ethz.source
FORM
ethz.eth
yes
en_US
ethz.availability
Open access
en_US
ethz.rosetta.installDate
2018-06-29T15:45:23Z
ethz.rosetta.lastUpdated
2019-02-03T03:34:36Z
ethz.rosetta.exportRequired
true
ethz.rosetta.versionExported
true
ethz.COinS
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