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dc.contributor.author
Ashcroft, Peter
dc.contributor.author
Lehtinen, Sonja
dc.contributor.author
Angst, Daniel C.
dc.contributor.author
Low, Nicola
dc.contributor.author
Bonhoeffer, Sebastian
dc.date.accessioned
2021-03-17T09:44:42Z
dc.date.available
2021-03-14T05:21:28Z
dc.date.available
2021-03-17T09:44:42Z
dc.date.issued
2021
dc.identifier.issn
2050-084X
dc.identifier.other
10.7554/eLife.63704
en_US
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/474303
dc.identifier.doi
10.3929/ethz-b-000474303
dc.description.abstract
The large number of individuals placed into quarantine because of possible severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS CoV-2) exposure has high societal and economic costs. There is ongoing debate about the appropriate duration of quarantine, particularly since the fraction of individuals who eventually test positive is perceived as being low. We use empirically determined distributions of incubation period, infectivity, and generation time to quantify how the duration of quarantine affects onward transmission from traced contacts of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases and from returning travellers. We also consider the roles of testing followed by release if negative (test-and-release), reinforced hygiene, adherence, and symptoms in calculating quarantine efficacy. We show that there are quarantine strategies based on a test-and-release protocol that, from an epidemiological viewpoint, perform almost as well as a 10-day quarantine, but with fewer person-days spent in quarantine. The findings apply to both travellers and contacts, but the specifics depend on the context.
en_US
dc.format
application/pdf
en_US
dc.language.iso
en
en_US
dc.publisher
eLife Sciences Publications
en_US
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.title
Quantifying the impact of quarantine duration on covid-19 transmission
en_US
dc.type
Journal Article
dc.rights.license
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
dc.date.published
2021-02-05
ethz.journal.title
eLife
ethz.journal.volume
10
en_US
ethz.pages.start
e63704
en_US
ethz.size
21 p.
en_US
ethz.version.deposit
publishedVersion
en_US
ethz.grant
Infectious disease dynamics: spread along contact networks and experimental evolution of antibiotic resistance
en_US
ethz.identifier.wos
ethz.identifier.scopus
ethz.publication.place
Cambridge
en_US
ethz.publication.status
published
en_US
ethz.leitzahl
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00012 - Lehre und Forschung::00007 - Departemente::02350 - Dep. Umweltsystemwissenschaften / Dep. of Environmental Systems Science::02720 - Institut für Integrative Biologie / Institute of Integrative Biology::03584 - Bonhoeffer, Sebastian / Bonhoeffer, Sebastian
ethz.leitzahl
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00003 - Schulleitung und Dienste::00022 - Bereich VP Forschung / Domain VP Research::02803 - Collegium Helveticum / Collegium Helveticum
ethz.leitzahl.certified
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00012 - Lehre und Forschung::00007 - Departemente::02350 - Dep. Umweltsystemwissenschaften / Dep. of Environmental Systems Science::02720 - Institut für Integrative Biologie / Institute of Integrative Biology::03584 - Bonhoeffer, Sebastian / Bonhoeffer, Sebastian
ethz.leitzahl.certified
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00003 - Schulleitung und Dienste::00022 - Bereich VP Forschung / Domain VP Research::02803 - Collegium Helveticum / Collegium Helveticum
ethz.grant.agreementno
176401
ethz.grant.fundername
SNF
ethz.grant.funderDoi
10.13039/501100001711
ethz.grant.program
Exzellenzbeitrag in Lebenswissenschaften
ethz.date.deposited
2021-03-14T05:21:42Z
ethz.source
SCOPUS
ethz.eth
yes
en_US
ethz.availability
Open access
en_US
ethz.rosetta.installDate
2021-03-17T09:44:58Z
ethz.rosetta.lastUpdated
2022-03-29T05:49:40Z
ethz.rosetta.versionExported
true
ethz.COinS
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