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dc.contributor.author
Finger, Robert
dc.date.accessioned
2019-07-22T06:04:35Z
dc.date.available
2017-06-10T00:50:29Z
dc.date.available
2019-07-19T11:24:54Z
dc.date.available
2019-07-22T06:04:35Z
dc.date.issued
2012-06
dc.identifier.issn
0378-3774
dc.identifier.issn
1873-2283
dc.identifier.other
10.1016/j.agwat.2012.03.002
en_US
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/49202
dc.identifier.doi
10.3929/ethz-b-000049202
dc.description.abstract
We analyze the sensitivity of crop management under current and future climate scenarios to changes in economic boundary conditions. In particular, we focus on the effects of changing price risks. We combine a bio-economic modeling approach and a crop growth model CropSyst with an economic model that represents the decision making process of a risk-averse farmer. We apply the models to irrigated maize production in Switzerland. To analyze the sensitivity of optimal water and nitrogen use to likely future states of several economic variables, we conduct sensitivity analyses with respect to changes in price variability, the price–yield correlation, water and maize prices as well as farmers’ risk preferences. Results show that climate change leads to a strong increase in optimal water use for irrigation, with consequent increases in maize yields. However, our analysis also reveals that the consideration of economic drivers for farmers’ irrigation decisions is indispensable. Strong effects on optimal water use are found for changes in crop (positive) and water (negative) prices. We also find strong implications of risk aversion and price variability on irrigation decisions. A doubling of price variability, which would represent a shift from the current Swiss situation to price variability levels in its neighboring countries, could reduce optimal water use by up to 40%. We conclude that investigations of water demand should consider, beyond expectations on output and input price levels, also the variability of prices.
en_US
dc.format
application/pdf
en_US
dc.language.iso
en
en_US
dc.publisher
Elsevier
en_US
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.subject
Irrigation
en_US
dc.subject
Nitrogen
en_US
dc.subject
Price risk
en_US
dc.subject
Production risk
en_US
dc.subject
Switzerland
en_US
dc.title
Modeling the sensitivity of agricultural water use to price variability and climate change - An application to Swiss maize production
en_US
dc.type
Journal Article
dc.rights.license
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
dc.date.published
2012-03-30
ethz.journal.title
Agricultural Water Management
ethz.journal.volume
109
en_US
ethz.journal.abbreviated
Agric. water manag.
ethz.pages.start
135
en_US
ethz.pages.end
143
en_US
ethz.size
35 p.
en_US
ethz.version.deposit
acceptedVersion
en_US
ethz.identifier.wos
ethz.identifier.nebis
000000988
ethz.publication.place
Amsterdam
en_US
ethz.publication.status
published
en_US
ethz.leitzahl
03327 - Lehmann, Bernard
en_US
ethz.leitzahl
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00012 - Lehre und Forschung::00007 - Departemente::02120 - Dep. Management, Technologie und Ökon. / Dep. of Management, Technology, and Ec.::09564 - Finger, Robert / Finger, Robert
en_US
ethz.leitzahl.certified
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00012 - Lehre und Forschung::00007 - Departemente::02120 - Dep. Management, Technologie und Ökon. / Dep. of Management, Technology, and Ec.::09564 - Finger, Robert / Finger, Robert
ethz.date.deposited
2017-06-10T00:50:53Z
ethz.source
ECIT
ethz.identifier.importid
imp59364f38c779477937
ethz.ecitpid
pub:80960
ethz.eth
no
en_US
ethz.availability
Open access
en_US
ethz.rosetta.installDate
2017-07-13T10:36:18Z
ethz.rosetta.lastUpdated
2019-07-22T06:04:45Z
ethz.rosetta.exportRequired
true
ethz.rosetta.versionExported
true
ethz.COinS
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