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dc.contributor.author
Schlickeiser, Reinhard
dc.contributor.author
Kröger, Martin
dc.date.accessioned
2021-07-21T08:50:11Z
dc.date.available
2021-07-16T07:27:34Z
dc.date.available
2021-07-21T08:50:11Z
dc.date.issued
2021-09
dc.identifier.issn
2673-8112
dc.identifier.other
10.3390/covid1010012
en_US
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/495459
dc.identifier.doi
10.3929/ethz-b-000495459
dc.description.abstract
Based on hospital capacities, facts from past experience with the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) virus and the number of dark infections during the second wave (DII=2D2), a reasonable limiting value of 140/D2 for the 7-day incidence per 100,000 persons (MSDIHT) and a second wave herd immunization threshold fraction value of 0.26 in Germany were calculated. If the MSDIHT is held below this limiting value, the German hospital system can cope with the number of new seriously infected persons without any triage decisions. On the basis of the SIRV epidemics model, the classical threshold values for herd immunization were calculated for 18 countries. For these countries, the dates regarding when herd immunization against the second COVID-19 wave will be reached were estimated.
en_US
dc.format
application/pdf
en_US
dc.language.iso
en
en_US
dc.publisher
MDPI
en_US
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subject
coronavirus
en_US
dc.subject
extrapolation
en_US
dc.subject
7-day incidence value
en_US
dc.subject
COVID-19
en_US
dc.title
Reasonable Limiting of 7-Day Incidence per Hundred Thousand and Herd Immunization in Germany and Other Countries
en_US
dc.type
Journal Article
dc.rights.license
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
dc.date.published
2021-07-14
ethz.journal.title
COVID
ethz.journal.volume
1
en_US
ethz.journal.issue
1
en_US
ethz.pages.start
130
en_US
ethz.pages.end
136
en_US
ethz.version.deposit
publishedVersion
en_US
ethz.publication.place
Basel
en_US
ethz.publication.status
published
en_US
ethz.leitzahl
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00012 - Lehre und Forschung::00007 - Departemente::02160 - Dep. Materialwissenschaft / Dep. of Materials::02646 - Institut für Polymere / Institute of Polymers::03359 - Oettinger, Christian / Oettinger, Christian
en_US
ethz.leitzahl.certified
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00012 - Lehre und Forschung::00007 - Departemente::02160 - Dep. Materialwissenschaft / Dep. of Materials::02646 - Institut für Polymere / Institute of Polymers::03359 - Oettinger, Christian / Oettinger, Christian
en_US
ethz.date.deposited
2021-07-16T07:27:39Z
ethz.source
FORM
ethz.eth
yes
en_US
ethz.availability
Open access
en_US
ethz.rosetta.installDate
2021-07-21T08:50:17Z
ethz.rosetta.lastUpdated
2022-03-29T10:34:03Z
ethz.rosetta.versionExported
true
ethz.COinS
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