
Open access
Author
Date
2022-06Type
- Working Paper
ETH Bibliography
yes
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Abstract
Assessing potential output and the output gap is essential for policy-making and fiscal surveillance. The European Commission proposes a production function methodology that involves the estimation of two classes of Gaussian state space models. This paper presents the R package RGAP which features a flexible modeling framework for the appropriate bivariate unobserved component models and offers frequentist as well as Bayesian estimation techniques. Additional functionalities include direct access to the AMECO database and automated model selection procedures. Multiple illustrative examples outline data preparation, model specification, and estimation processes using RGAP. Show more
Permanent link
https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000552089Publication status
publishedJournal / series
KOF Working PapersVolume
Pages / Article No.
Publisher
KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH ZurichSubject
business cycle; Output gap; potential output; state space models; Kalman filter and smoother; Gibbs samplingOrganisational unit
02525 - KOF Konjunkturforschungsstelle / KOF Swiss Economic Institute
06330 - KOF FB Konjunktur / KOF Macroeconomic forecasting
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ETH Bibliography
yes
Altmetrics