Show simple item record

dc.contributor.author
Delzon, Sylvain
dc.contributor.author
Urli, Morgane
dc.contributor.author
Samalens, Jean-Charles
dc.contributor.author
Lamy, Jean-Baptiste
dc.contributor.author
Lischke, Heike
dc.contributor.author
Sin, Fabrice
dc.contributor.author
Zimmermann, Niklaus E.
dc.contributor.author
Porté, Annabel J.
dc.date.accessioned
2018-10-04T14:18:23Z
dc.date.available
2017-06-11T02:10:20Z
dc.date.available
2018-10-04T14:18:23Z
dc.date.issued
2013-11-18
dc.identifier.issn
1932-6203
dc.identifier.other
10.1371/journal.pone.0080443
en_US
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/76994
dc.identifier.doi
10.3929/ethz-b-000076994
dc.description.abstract
A major unknown in the context of current climate change is the extent to which populations of slowly migrating species, such as trees, will track shifting climates. Niche modelling generally predicts substantial northward shifts of suitable habitats. There is therefore an urgent need for field-based forest observations to corroborate these extensive model simulations. We used forest inventory data providing presence/absence information from just over a century (1880–2010) for a Mediterranean species (Quercus ilex) in forests located at the northern edge of its distribution. The main goals of the study were (i) to investigate whether this species has actually spread into new areas during the Anthropocene period and (ii) to provide a direct estimation of tree migration rate. We show that Q. ilex has colonised substantial new areas over the last century. However, the maximum rate of colonisation by this species (22 to 57 m/year) was much slower than predicted by the models and necessary to follow changes in habitat suitability since 1880. Our results suggest that the rates of tree dispersion and establishment may also be too low to track shifts in bioclimatic envelopes in the future. The inclusion of contemporary, rather than historical, migration rates into models should improve our understanding of the response of species to climate change.
en_US
dc.format
application/pdf
en_US
dc.language.iso
en
en_US
dc.publisher
Public Library of Science
en_US
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/
dc.title
Field Evidence of Colonisation by Holm Oak, at the Northern Margin of Its Distribution Range, during the Anthropocene Period
en_US
dc.type
Journal Article
dc.rights.license
Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported
ethz.journal.title
PLoS ONE
ethz.journal.volume
8
en_US
ethz.journal.issue
11
en_US
ethz.journal.abbreviated
PLoS ONE
ethz.pages.start
e80443
en_US
ethz.size
8 p.
en_US
ethz.version.deposit
publishedVersion
en_US
ethz.identifier.wos
ethz.identifier.nebis
006206116
ethz.publication.place
San Francisco, CA, USA
en_US
ethz.publication.status
published
en_US
ethz.date.deposited
2017-06-11T02:10:30Z
ethz.source
ECIT
ethz.identifier.importid
imp593651619902015359
ethz.ecitpid
pub:121544
ethz.eth
yes
en_US
ethz.availability
Open access
en_US
ethz.rosetta.installDate
2017-07-14T17:57:21Z
ethz.rosetta.lastUpdated
2018-10-04T14:18:42Z
ethz.rosetta.exportRequired
true
ethz.rosetta.versionExported
true
ethz.COinS
ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.atitle=Field%20Evidence%20of%20Colonisation%20by%20Holm%20Oak,%20at%20the%20Northern%20Margin%20of%20Its%20Distribution%20Range,%20during%20the%20Anthropocene%20Period&rft.jtitle=PLoS%20ONE&rft.date=2013-11-18&rft.volume=8&rft.issue=11&rft.spage=e80443&rft.issn=1932-6203&rft.au=Delzon,%20Sylvain&Urli,%20Morgane&Samalens,%20Jean-Charles&Lamy,%20Jean-Baptiste&Lischke,%20Heike&rft.genre=article&
 Search via SFX

Files in this item

Thumbnail

Publication type

Show simple item record