Scheduling Municipal Carbon Abatement Projects Under Uncertainty
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Author / Producer
Date
2022
Publication Type
Other Conference Item
ETH Bibliography
yes
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Abstract
Addressing city-level energy-related emissions is a key challenge in wider decarbonization efforts. However, the ability to take effective planning decisions is constrained by budget, staffing resources, political cycles, and the need to consider multiple, competing policy objectives. Moreover, project selection is often conducted with little-to-no consideration to uncertainty in project cost, duration, or abatement potential. We suggest that applying established scheduling methods could help city planners make more effective emissions reduction planning decisions, especially if project uncertainties are considered in the scheduling process. We demonstrate such an approach to a case study of Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada, and consider actual projects adopted by the city. We adopt a simplified representation of project emissions abatement potential based upon whether projects addressed existing or new infrastructure and the actors involved. Our results show that projects selected by the city have lower expected carbon abatement potential and generally offer lower cost savings to the community than those selected by algorithm-based scheduling methods. Future work will further develop the applied uncertainty quantification methods and alternative case studies.
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Publication status
published
External links
Book title
Book of Extended Abstracts for the 32nd European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2022)
Journal / series
Volume
Pages / Article No.
164 - 165
Publisher
Research Publishing
Event
32nd European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2022)
Edition / version
Methods
Software
Geographic location
Date collected
Date created
Subject
Scheduling; Cities; Emissions reduction; Carbon abatement potential
Organisational unit
09452 - Sansavini, Giovanni / Sansavini, Giovanni