Commitment failures are unlikely to undermine public support for the Paris agreement


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Date

2019-03

Publication Type

Journal Article

ETH Bibliography

yes

Citations

Altmetric

Data

Abstract

Success of the 2015 Paris Agreement, which is founded on nationally determined contributions (NDCs), hinges on whether domestic support for international environmental agreements would be undermined if countries that are crucial to the global effort fail to reduce their emissions. Here we find that citizens in China (n = 3,000) and the United States (n = 3,007) have strong preferences over the design of international climate agreements and contributions of other countries to the global effort. However, contrary to what standard accounts of international politics would predict, a survey-embedded experiment in which respondents were randomly exposed to different information on other countries’ behaviour showed that information on other countries failing to reduce their emissions does not undermine support for how international agreements are designed. While other factors still make large emission cuts challenging, these results suggest that the Paris approach per se is not posing a problem.

Publication status

published

Editor

Book title

Volume

9 (3)

Pages / Article No.

248 - 252

Publisher

Nature

Event

Edition / version

Methods

Software

Geographic location

Date collected

Date created

Subject

Climate-change policy; Energy and society; Politics; Psychology and behaviour

Organisational unit

03446 - Bernauer, Thomas / Bernauer, Thomas check_circle

Notes

It was possible to publish this article open access thanks to a Swiss National Licence with the publisher.

Funding

295456 - Sources of Legitimacy in Global Environmental Governance (EC)

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