Govinda Daniel Clayton
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Clayton
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Govinda Daniel
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Publications 1 - 10 of 26
- The Effectiveness of Mediation and Peacekeeping for Ending ConflictItem type: Journal Article
Journal of Peace ResearchClayton, Govinda Daniel; Dorussen, Han (2022) - Costs and Cover: Explaining the Onset of Ceasefires in Civil ConflictItem type: Journal Article
Journal of Conflict ResolutionClayton, Govinda Daniel; Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv; Rustad, Siri A.; et al. (2023)There is little comparative analysis of why and under what conditions ceasefires occur. In their article for the Journal of Conflict Resolution, CSS’ Govinda Clayton, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Siri Aas Rustad and Håvard Strand argue that conflict parties are more likely to accept the costs associated with a ceasefire when the conflict costs are greater, for example when violence is intense, there are higher levels of ‘collateral damage’, and the parties lack international support. - Ceasefires in Intra-state Peace ProcessesItem type: Other Publication
CSS Analyses in Security PolicyClayton, Govinda Daniel; Mason, Simon Jonas Augusto; Sticher, Valerie; et al. (2019)Ceasefires are one instrument frequently used to try and stop violence. To improve the effectiveness of ceasefires in advancing peace, concerted efforts by mediators, policymakers and researchers are needed to better understand the way they interact with the political decisions made in peace processes. - Ceasefire Success: A Conceptual FrameworkItem type: Journal Article
International PeacekeepingClayton, Govinda Daniel; Nathan, Laurie; Wiehler, Claudia (2021)The causes and consequences of ceasefires have become a burgeoning area of research. Despite its importance, it is not clear how ceasefire success should be conceptualized, which hampers the progress of its research. This journal article by CSS Govinda Clayton, Claudia Wiehler and Laurie Nathan offers a conceptual framework based on the proposition that ceasefire success should be assessed in two criteria: the immediate objective and the underlying purpose. According to the authors, this requires an understanding of the broader political process that gives rise to a ceasefire, rather than interpreting all arrangements as homogeneous with the same scope and goal. - Cyber Ceasefires: Incorporating Restraints on Offensive Cyber Operations in Agreements to Stop Armed ConflictItem type: Other Publication
CSS Mediation ResourcesKane, Sean; Clayton, Govinda Daniel (2021)There is a growing convergence between offensive cyber capabilities and physical warfare. Yet despite the increased use of offensive cyber capabilities in armed conflict, there does not yet exist any guidance for peace practitioners on if, or how, peace processes may need to evolve with this trend. This study represents one of the first attempts to address this gap, focusing specifically on how developments in offensive cyber capabilities might impact efforts to negotiate and implement ceasefires. It also sets out and analyzes possible adaptations and responses. - Sequencing United Nations peacemaking: Political initiatives and peacekeeping operationsItem type: Journal Article
Conflict Management and Peace ScienceDorussen, Han; Böhmelt, Tobias; Clayton, Govinda Daniel (2022)The UN has developed a diverse range of peacemaking tools, including different forms of political initiatives (diplomatic, technocratic, and political-development missions) and peacekeeping operations. Yet we know surprisingly little about when and why we observe the onset of different types of UN missions. Examining an ‘‘escalatory trajectory,’’ we analyze the United Nations Peace Initiatives data, a new dataset providing information on all different types of UN engagements. Our main contributions are that we provide insights into how the different types of missions relate to one another and conceptual clarity about what the different types of missions are. - Mediation in bewaffneten KonfliktenItem type: Other Publication
CSS Analysen zur SicherheitspolitikBaumann, Jonas; Clayton, Govinda Daniel (2017)Mediation ist ein Verfahren, bei dem ein Dritter Konfliktparteien mit deren Einverständnis dabei unterstützt, einen Konflikt zu vermeiden, zu regeln oder zu lösen. Dieses Verfahren ist weit verbreitet. Um seine Wirksamkeit zu verbessern, müssen aber die Begriffe geklärt, die Stärken und Schwächen erkannt und der Beruf Mediator professionalisiert werden. - United Nations peace initiatives 1946-2015: introducing a new datasetItem type: Journal Article
International InteractionsClayton, Govinda Daniel; Dorussen, Han; Böhmelt, Tobias (2021)The United Nations (UN) has developed a complex and interconnected system of committees, representatives, and missions in support of its peace and security mandate. This article introduces the United Nations Peace Initiatives (UNPI) data set, which provides information on 469 UN initiatives aimed at conflict prevention and crisis management, mediation, peacekeeping, and peacebuilding. The data encompass all initiatives mandated by the UN Security Council, the General Assembly, as well as Secretary General between 1946 and 2015. This includes diplomatic, technocratic, political-development, and peacekeeping missions. UNPI data provide an empirical basis to assess the relative contributions of various UN subsidiary bodies to prevent, manage, and suppress the outbreak and recurrence of conflict. This article discusses the underlying rationale of the data collection, the coding rules, and procedures, and shows how UNPI can be combined with conflict data. Initial analyses show the increased use of different types of UN peace initiatives over time. The UN regularly deploys multiple peace initiatives to a dispute, often with significant periods of overlap. Ongoing hostilities and economic development are found to be key determinants of mission choice. In line with the theme of the Special Issue, the UNPI data set underscores the importance of, and provides a tool through which to examine the, interdependencies between various conflict management efforts. © 2020 Taylor & Francis Group, LLC. - Your Reputation Precedes You: Ceasefires and Cooperative Credibility During Civil ConflictItem type: Journal Article
Journal of Conflict ResolutionBara, Corinne; Clayton, Govinda Daniel (2023)How does the state's behavior in negotiations with one non-state group influence the behavior of other non-state actors? We argue that the dynamics of different conflicts within the same country are interdependent, and that a state develops a reputation through its interactions with each conflict party. This reputation provides a valuable source of information that other groups use to judge the state's cooperative intentions. When a state develops a reputation for cooperation, this increases the likelihood of (indirect) reciprocation from other groups. More specifically, we argue that when states enter into (and honor) a ceasefire with one rebel group, they demonstrate a credible reputation for cooperation. A credible reputation for cooperation, we posit, increases the likelihood that other conflict parties enter into ceasefires with the state, or that they de-escalate their military activities. We test our claims using the new civil conflict ceasefire dataset and find support for our argument. - Waffenstillstände in Bürgerkriegen: ein globaler DatensatzItem type: Book Chapter
Bulletin zur schweizerischen Sicherheitspolitik ~ Bulletin 2019 zur schweizerischen SicherheitspolitikWiehler, Claudia; Clayton, Govinda Daniel (2019)Govinda Clayton and Claudia Wiehler contend that though ceasefires accompany most peace deals in civil wars, we know remarkably little about them. For this reason, the CSS has launched a project to create a comprehensive database on ceasefires. This database will serve as a basis for country reports focusing on ceasefires and the peace processes that come with them.
Publications 1 - 10 of 26