From Process to Centuries: Upscaling Field-Calibrated Models of Fluvial Bedrock Erosion


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Date

2021-09-20

Publication Type

Journal Article

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Abstract

Fluvial bedrock erosion formulas lack validation over space and time. We explore the performance of field-calibrated models at the patch-scale (<1m2) and from minutes to centuries. At the hour to annual scales (in 1-min resolution), we verify predictions using linked discharge, bedload transport and at-a-point erosion, together with spatial erosion from a mountain streambed. Local and spatial erosion linearly scale with bedload mass. The unit stream power model (USP) fails to describe erosion dynamics without a threshold for its onset. Extrapolating over the decadal scale (14 years of discharge and bedload data), scaled models predict up to 12% of erosion for two exceptional floods. Erosion predictions for a bi-centennial discharge varied over four orders of magnitude (extrapolated from 32.5 years discharge and 16 years bedload data at 10-min resolution). Bi-centennial erosion predictions summing up to 1 m for bedload models versus 0.1 m for USP highlight the likely dominance of large events in setting long-term erosion under sediment-starved conditions.

Publication status

published

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Volume

48 (18)

Pages / Article No.

Publisher

American Geophysical Union

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Subject

fluvial bedrock erosion; model scaling; field calibration

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