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Prognosen für den Schweizer Tourismus - Ausgabe Mai 2017
(2017)KOF StudiesDie Wintersaison war für den Schweizer Tourismus schwierig. Die Zahl der Übernachtungen stieg mit geschätzten 0.6% nur leicht. Die Aussichten für die Sommersaison sehen dagegen freundlicher aus. Die Zahl der ausländischen Gäste, insbesondere aus den sogenannten Fern-märkten wie China oder den USA, dürfte sich positiv entwickeln. Somit resultiert ein erwarteter Anstieg der Logiernächte von 1.7% für die Sommersaison. Für die kommenden zwei ...Report -
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Bilateral cooperation of SDC with Middle Income Countries (MICs): proposal for a method to evaluate priorities for aid allocation
(2017)The distribution of ODA between Low Income Countries (LICs), Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and Middle Income Countries (MICs) is a controversial issue, above all because today the majority of poor people live in MICs. Despite the emphasis of many donors on providing aid above all to the poorest countries it is broadly agreed that aid to MICs is justified whenever income and non-income poverty persist at high levels. At the same time ...Report -
Uncertainty Quantification and Global Sensitivity Analysis for Economic Models
(2017)SSRNWe present a global sensitivity analysis that quantifies the impact of parameter uncertainty on model outcomes. Specifically, we propose Sobol’ indices to establish an importance ranking of parameters and univariate effects to determine the direction of the impact. Sobol’ indices are based on variance decomposition and are able to fully capture non-linearities and identify interactions between parameters. Univariate effects are computed ...Working Paper -
Transport policy optimization with AVs
(2017)Arbeitsberichte Verkehrs- und RaumplanungAutonomous vehicles (AVs, here self-driving and driverless vehicles, SAE (1) levels 4 and 5) are becoming more clearly a reality. Potential services based on AVs, their detailed design for optimal performance, and their consequences for the transport system are of increasing importance. This paper investigates policy combinations for a world with such services. The policy measures investigated are pricing of public transport (through ...Working Paper -
The role of energy and investment literacy for residential electricity demand and end-use efficiency
(2017)Economics Working Paper SeriesWorking Paper -
Extraction and evaluation of transportation network grammars for efficient planning applications
(2017)Arbeitsberichte Verkehrs- und RaumplanungGrammars, with their generic approach and broad application potential in many planning fields, are accepted as adaptable and efficient tools for design and planning applications, bridging design rules and technical planning requirements. This paper provides a formal introduction of grammars for effective consolidation and application, including a rule-based notation and required specification information. Two proposed grammar evaluation ...Working Paper -
A MATSim scenario for autonomous vehicles in La Défense and Île-de-France
(2017)Arbeitsberichte Verkehrs- und RaumplanungThe synthesis of a scenario for the agent-based traffic simulation framework MATSim for the Île-de-France region is documented. A reduction of the scenario to an area around La Défense in Paris is proposed and next steps towards a study of autonomous vehicle fleets in that area are shown.Working Paper