Open access
Author
Date
2016-07Type
- Working Paper
ETH Bibliography
yes
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Abstract
We propose the multivariate probit model with sample selection for travel demand modeling to simultaneously capture correlated and mutually exclusive choices. Our modeling approach is suitable for increasingly diverse, but complementary, means of transport and new kinds of travel demand. In contrast to multinomial logit models, each single choice is modeled, instead of each single element in the choice set.
The model is empirically applied to data from the 2010 Swiss transportation micro-census. In Switzerland, residents can augment their choice of car ownership by purchasing a public transportation ‘season ticket’, with either nation-wide or local coverage (mutually exclusive). We capture the influence of land use by accessibility at the municipality level, finding that, in less accessible regions, car ownership is unavoidable, whereas with better accessibility, car use can be substituted through season tickets. This model allows planners and policy makers to quantify the long-term effects of changes in accessibility on the choices of cars and season tickets. Show more
Permanent link
https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000250468Publication status
publishedJournal / series
Arbeitsberichte Verkehrs- und RaumplanungVolume
Publisher
IVT, ETH ZurichSubject
Travel behavior; Multivariate probit; Mobility tool; Car ownership; Season-ticket-ownershipOrganisational unit
03521 - Axhausen, Kay W. (emeritus) / Axhausen, Kay W. (emeritus)
02226 - NSL - Netzwerk Stadt und Landschaft / NSL - Network City and Landscape
02655 - Netzwerk Stadt u. Landschaft ARCH u BAUG / Network City and Landscape ARCH and BAUG
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ETH Bibliography
yes
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