A real time evaluation of employment forecasts in Switzerland
dc.contributor.author
Graff, Michael
dc.contributor.author
Mannino, Massimo
dc.contributor.author
Siegenthaler, Michael
dc.date.accessioned
2021-01-20T16:31:32Z
dc.date.available
2017-06-10T12:33:06Z
dc.date.available
2017-06-22T10:50:02Z
dc.date.available
2021-01-20T16:31:32Z
dc.date.issued
2012-11
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/61515
dc.identifier.doi
10.3929/ethz-a-007568961
dc.description.abstract
We evaluate nowcasts and one- to four-quarter-ahead forecasts of Swiss full time equivalent jobs from 1998q1–2011q4, comparing forecasts of the KOF Swiss Economic Institute and of the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs with the outcome of the reference series. Both forecasts are biased downward, and they do not capture the trend of the reference series well. In addition, we show that the KOF Employment Indicator as well as the Employment Indicator of the Federal Statistical Office are useful to predict the evolution full time equivalent jobs with a lead of about one quarter.
en_US
dc.format
application/pdf
dc.language.iso
en
en_US
dc.publisher
KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich
dc.rights.uri
http://rightsstatements.org/page/InC-NC/1.0/
dc.subject
BETRIEBSWIRTSCHAFTLICHE PROGNOSE
en_US
dc.subject
LABOUR MARKET AND EMPLOYMENT
en_US
dc.subject
SCHWEIZ (MITTELEUROPA). SCHWEIZERISCHE EIDGENOSSENSCHAFT
en_US
dc.subject
SWITZERLAND (CENTRAL EUROPE). SWISS CONFEDERATION
en_US
dc.subject
LEVEL OF EMPLOYMENT
en_US
dc.subject
ARBEITSMARKT UND BESCHÄFTIGUNG
en_US
dc.subject
BESCHÄFTIGUNGSGRAD
en_US
dc.subject
BUSINESS FORECASTS
en_US
dc.title
A real time evaluation of employment forecasts in Switzerland
en_US
dc.type
Working Paper
dc.rights.license
In Copyright - Non-Commercial Use Permitted
dc.date.published
2012
ethz.journal.title
KOF Working Papers
ethz.journal.volume
320
en_US
ethz.size
33 p.
en_US
ethz.code.ddc
DDC - DDC::3 - Social sciences::330 - Economics
en_US
ethz.identifier.nebis
007568961
ethz.publication.place
Zürich
en_US
ethz.publication.status
published
en_US
ethz.leitzahl
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00012 - Lehre und Forschung::00007 - Departemente::02120 - Dep. Management, Technologie und Ökon. / Dep. of Management, Technology, and Ec.::02525 - KOF Konjunkturforschungsstelle / KOF Swiss Economic Institute
en_US
ethz.leitzahl.certified
ETH Zürich::00002 - ETH Zürich::00012 - Lehre und Forschung::00007 - Departemente::02120 - Dep. Management, Technologie und Ökon. / Dep. of Management, Technology, and Ec.::02525 - KOF Konjunkturforschungsstelle / KOF Swiss Economic Institute
ethz.tag
KOF-Key-arbeitsmarkt
en_US
ethz.date.deposited
2017-06-10T12:33:44Z
ethz.source
ECOL
ethz.source
ECIT
ethz.identifier.importid
imp593650360313081624
ethz.identifier.importid
imp59366b3048c2666357
ethz.ecolpid
eth:6169
ethz.ecitpid
pub:97979
ethz.eth
yes
en_US
ethz.availability
Open access
en_US
ethz.rosetta.installDate
2017-06-22T10:50:04Z
ethz.rosetta.lastUpdated
2022-03-29T04:54:27Z
ethz.rosetta.versionExported
true
ethz.COinS
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